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Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Mar 13, 2024 at 8.10pm UK
Parc des Princes
Nice

PSG
3 - 1
Nice

Mbappe (14'), Ruiz (33'), Beraldo (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Laborde (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Nice

With eyes on a historic treble, PSG will be keen to ensure safe passage into the semi-finals and should do so against out-of-form opponents. Nice's abysmal form since the start of February means they are up against it here, and a dominant PSG side should have too much for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Nice had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNice
53.46% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 23.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.37% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.91% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.54% (0.057000000000002 0.06)44.46% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.17% (0.055 0.05)66.83% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)16.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)46.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (0.107 0.11)32.98% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44% (0.117 0.12)69.56% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 53.46%
    Nice 23.37%
    Draw 23.17%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawNice
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.46%
1-1 @ 10.9%
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 23.37%

How you voted: PSG vs Nice

Paris Saint-Germain
89.1%
Draw
5.1%
Nice
5.8%
156
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
PSG
2-3
Nice
Mbappe (29', 87')
Barcola (83'), Skriniar (89')
Moffi (21', 68'), Laborde (53')
Thuram (35'), Bard (63'), Moffi (70'), Bulka (71'), Lotomba (90+5')
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Nice
0-2
PSG
Messi (26'), Ramos (76')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
2-1
Nice
Messi (29'), Mbappe (83')
Laborde (47')
Mar 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Nice
1-0
PSG
Delort (88')
Lemina (33')
Jan 31, 2022 8.15pm
Round of 16
PSG
0-0
Nice
Nice win 6-5 on penalties
Pereira (24'), Kehrer (54'), Dagba (71')
Gouiri (29'), Boudaoui (60'), Schneiderlin (76'), Todibo (77'), Atal (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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