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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Watford logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Watford

Cantwell (59'), Dolan (74')
Hedges (34'), Dolan (44'), Forshaw (90+8'), Dennis (90+3'), Travis (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pollock (47')
Louza (16'), Abankwah (24'), Morris (45+1'), Doumbia (65'), Kayembe (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Blackburn
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Watford
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Watford

The Hornets have little to play for now, and they could well already have one eye on the beach, whereas Blackburn just have to win and hope that they get help from elsewhere. We think that they should get the three points that they need this weekend, which would potentially take their playoff bid to the final day of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
47.83% (0.785 0.79) 25.31% (-0.145 -0.15) 26.86% (-0.639 -0.64)
Both teams to score 52.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (0.172 0.17)50.6% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (0.151 0.15)72.51% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (0.416 0.42)21.17% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.95% (0.639 0.64)54.04% (-0.635 -0.63)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)33.38% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (-0.456 -0.46)70% (0.461 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 47.83%
    Watford 26.86%
    Draw 25.3%
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.83%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Watford

Blackburn Rovers
68.6%
Draw
17.1%
Watford
14.3%
35
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Watford
1-0
Blackburn
Kayembe (71' pen.)
Sierralta (36'), Chakvetadze (49'), Kayembe (51'), Baah (55'), Ebosele (88')

Cantwell (68'), Hedges (69'), Brittain (90'), Hyam (90+5')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Blackburn
1-2
Watford
Wharton (3')
Garrett (36'), Moran (89')
Rajovic (83'), Healey (87')
Hoedt (65'), Rajovic (81'), Andrews (87')
Aug 27, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 4
Watford
0-1
Blackburn

Hoedt (24'), Andrews (69'), Louza (69')
Hedges (72')
Hyam (63'), Rankin-Costello (77')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Watford
1-1
Blackburn
Hoedt (74')
Dack (24')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Blackburn
2-0
Watford
Hedges (38'), Hyam (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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