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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Watford logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Watford

McCrorie (24'), Wells (29')
Earthy (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Doumbia (80')
Kayembe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Watford

The hosts have been excellent at home this season, and we expect them to edge a close game this weekend. With playoff dreams on the line for both clubs, it should be an entertaining match, and as Watford do not win many away from home, we think that Bristol City will claim all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw has a probability of 24.7% and a win for Watford has a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result
Bristol CityDrawWatford
54.08% (-0.528 -0.53) 24.69% (0.351 0.35) 21.23% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-1.156 -1.16)53.01% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.994 -0.99)74.6% (0.995 1)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)19.55% (0.651 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-1.072 -1.07)51.46% (1.073 1.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.2% (-0.476 -0.48)39.79% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (-0.442 -0.44)76.46% (0.443 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 54.07%
    Watford 21.23%
    Draw 24.69%
Bristol CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Watford

Bristol City
68.0%
Draw
12.0%
Watford
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
1-0
Bristol City
Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')

Twine (72'), Pring (87')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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