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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Watford logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Watford

McCrorie (24'), Wells (29')
Earthy (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Doumbia (80')
Kayembe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Bristol City
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw has a probability of 24.7% and a win for Watford has a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Watford win it is 0-1 (7.17%).

Result
Bristol CityDrawWatford
54.08% (-0.528 -0.53)24.69% (0.351 0.35)21.23% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.43% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (-1.156 -1.16)53.01% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (-0.994 -0.99)74.6% (0.995 1)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)19.55% (0.651 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-1.072 -1.07)51.46% (1.073 1.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.2% (-0.476 -0.48)39.79% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (-0.442 -0.44)76.46% (0.443 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 54.07%
    Watford 21.23%
    Draw 24.69%
Bristol CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.2% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 54.07%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.78% (0.349 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 21.23%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Watford

Bristol City
68.0%
Draw
12.0%
Watford
20.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Watford
1-0
Bristol City
Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')

Twine (72'), Pring (87')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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