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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Bristol City |
52.36% (![]() | 26.13% (![]() | 21.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.03% (![]() | 57.97% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.33% (![]() | 78.66% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.74% (![]() | 22.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.3% (![]() | 55.69% (![]() |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.65% (![]() | 42.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.26% (![]() | 78.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 14.16% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.63% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.35% | 1-1 @ 12.16% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.42% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.1% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 97 |
2 | Burnley | 45 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 66 | 15 | 51 | 97 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 45 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 89 |
4 | Sunderland | 45 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 67 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 66 |
7 | Millwall | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 66 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 65 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 64 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 61 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 60 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Watford | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 56 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 67 | 66 | 1 | 54 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 53 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 52 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 50 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 49 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 49 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 49 |
22 | Hull City | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 48 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 50 | 86 | -36 | 46 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 44 |
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