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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Bristol City

Millwall
0 - 2
Bristol City

FT(HT: 0-0)
Vyner (53'), Cornick (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Millwall
Saturday, March 1 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-2 Bristol City

Millwall have not been particularly strong at home, though they have been difficult to beat in the past weeks. Bristol City will almost certainly have to win if they have ambitions of promotion, but their poor form on the road could cost them all three points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBristol City
39.07% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 29.81% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 31.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)64.9% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)83.82% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)32.34% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)68.85% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.77% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.46% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 39.06%
    Bristol City 31.12%
    Draw 29.8%
MillwallDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.78%
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.06%
1-1 @ 13.42%
0-0 @ 12.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.8%
0-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Millwall vs Bristol City

Millwall
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
Bristol City
23.1%
65
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol City
4-3
Millwall
Mehmeti (3'), Armstrong (12'), Mayulu (78'), Twine (88')
Sykes (50')
Esse (51'), Bradshaw (54' pen.), Watmore (64')
De Norre (49'), Jensen (67')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Bristol City
0-1
Millwall

Williams (90+7')
Hutchinson (90+2')
Norton-Cuffy (74'), Leonard (90+7')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
0-1
Bristol City

Hutchinson (67')
James (90+4')
Williams (25'), Pring (69'), Vyner (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol City
1-2
Millwall
Hutchinson (71' og.)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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