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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Bristol City

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Bristol City

Leigh (59')
Leigh (19'), Brannagan (30'), Helik (64'), Matos (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sykes (65')
McCrorie (4'), Bird (81'), O'Leary (90+4')
Williams (31'), McCrorie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Bristol City

Oxford have won all four of their home league games since Rowett took over the reins in December, and we think that they will maintain that record by claiming a narrow win over a Bristol City side that have lost four of their previous seven Championship away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol City
33.07% (0.107 0.11) 27.19% (0.2 0.2) 39.74% (-0.311 -0.31)
Both teams to score 49.91% (-0.594 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.762 -0.76)55.45% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.63 -0.63)76.64% (0.628 0.63)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (-0.31599999999999 -0.32)31.35% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.367 -0.37)67.72% (0.364 0.36)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.529 -0.53)27.29% (0.527 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (-0.691 -0.69)62.72% (0.689 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 33.07%
    Bristol City 39.74%
    Draw 27.18%
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.249 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 39.74%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Bristol City

Oxford United
61.1%
Draw
11.1%
Bristol City
27.8%
36
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol City
2-1
Oxford Utd
Armstrong (57'), Wells (75' pen.)
Williams (10')
Rodrigues (28')
El Mizouni (11'), Moore (66'), Vaulks (74'), Brown (74')
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
5-1
Oxford Utd
Cornick (15'), Knight (35', 47'), Wells (51'), Naismith (62')
Dickie (55'), Roberts (90+7')
Bodin (30')
Brown (45+4'), Murphy (70'), Rodrigues (89')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Bristol City
4-1
Oxford Utd
Conway (13', 54'), Weimann (27'), Knight (49')
O'Donkor (15')
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Bryan (2')
Bryan (22'), El-Abd (70')
Morris (55'), Hylton (87')
Collins (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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