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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Oxford United

Stoke
0 - 0
Oxford Utd


Rose (46'), Stevens (76'), Lowe (90+1')
FT

Brannagan (34'), Bradshaw (39'), Kioso (81'), Matos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Oxford United

The visitors have been in fine form since Rowett took charge at the club last month, so we see them edging a tight encounter here. For Stoke, the results have improved under Robins, but they are still not winning enough games and we expect that to continue for at least another week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawOxford United
47.3% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07) 26.22% (0.026 0.03) 26.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.48% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)54.41% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.78% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)23% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.8% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.51% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 47.3%
    Oxford United 26.48%
    Draw 26.22%
Stoke CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 12.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.48%

How you voted: Stoke vs Oxford Utd

Stoke City
35.5%
Draw
12.9%
Oxford United
51.6%
31
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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