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FA Cup

Sunderland
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Stoke logo

Sunderland
1 - 2
Stoke

Aleksic (64')
Rigg (23')
FT
(aet)
Cannon (4' pen.), Ennis (112')
Baker (63'), Moran (72'), Burger (93'), Tchamadeu (99')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sunderland and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.93%).

Result
SunderlandDrawStoke City
52.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)24.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)23% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (0.055 0.05)49.75% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (0.048999999999999 0.05)71.76% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (0.036999999999999 0.04)50.29% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.041000000000004 0.04)36.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.038999999999998 0.04)73.01% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.67%
    Stoke City 23%
    Draw 24.32%
SunderlandDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 23%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Stoke

Sunderland
83.3%
Stoke City
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stoke
1-0
Sunderland
Cannon (90+2')
Phillips (16'), Gooch (21'), Moran (27'), Johansson (43'), Cannon (90+3')

Cirkin (51'), Bellingham (71')
> Preview
Dec 7, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sunderland
2-1
Stoke
Watson (7', 86')
Koumas (6')
> Preview
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Sunderland
3-1
Stoke
Burstow (43'), Ba (49'), Ekwah (70')
Ballard (90')
Seelt (74' og.)
Wilmot (26'), Cundle (32'), Thompson (39')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
2-1
Sunderland
Mmaee (7'), McNally (47')
Johnson (21'), Burger (50'), Pearson (59'), Thompson (73'), Stevens (86')
Clarke (10')
Huggins (25'), Hume (34'), Clarke (64'), Aouchiche (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sunderland
1-5
Stoke
Pritchard (62')
Laurent (41'), Campbell (53', 57'), Gayle (68', 76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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