MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:21:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Stoke logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Stoke


Anthony (90+5')
Mejbri (87')
FT

Moran (13'), Gooch (76'), Tchamadeu (84'), Gallagher (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Sunderland
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-1 Stoke City

Given Burnley have not been particularly strong in front of goal, it would not be surprising if Wednesday's match was low scoring. However, it is difficult to overlook the hosts' strong form of late, and while Stoke did win last time out, they should come into their clash at Turf Moor as second favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawStoke City
52.95% (0.492 0.49) 24.03% (-0.138 -0.14) 23.02% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.23699999999999 0.24)48.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.216 0.22)70.64% (-0.211 -0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.28200000000001 0.28)18.27% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.472 0.47)49.33% (-0.467 -0.47)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.185 -0.19)35.53% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.192 -0.19)72.29% (0.197 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 52.95%
    Stoke City 23.02%
    Draw 24.02%
BurnleyDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Burnley vs Stoke

Burnley
86.9%
Draw
8.3%
Stoke City
4.8%
84
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stoke
0-2
Burnley

Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
0-1
Burnley
Cullen (61')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-1
Stoke
Roberts (54')
Clarke (87')
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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