MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 14:11:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Stoke logo

Burnley
0 - 0
Stoke


Anthony (90+5')
Mejbri (87')
FT

Moran (13'), Gooch (76'), Tchamadeu (84'), Gallagher (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Sunderland
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-1 Stoke City

Given Burnley have not been particularly strong in front of goal, it would not be surprising if Wednesday's match was low scoring. However, it is difficult to overlook the hosts' strong form of late, and while Stoke did win last time out, they should come into their clash at Turf Moor as second favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawStoke City
52.95% (0.492 0.49) 24.03% (-0.138 -0.14) 23.02% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.23699999999999 0.24)48.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.216 0.22)70.64% (-0.211 -0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.28200000000001 0.28)18.27% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.472 0.47)49.33% (-0.467 -0.47)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.185 -0.19)35.53% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.192 -0.19)72.29% (0.197 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 52.95%
    Stoke City 23.02%
    Draw 24.02%
BurnleyDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.02%

How you voted: Burnley vs Stoke

Burnley
86.9%
Draw
8.3%
Stoke City
4.8%
84
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Stoke
0-2
Burnley

Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
0-1
Burnley
Cullen (61')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-1
Stoke
Roberts (54')
Clarke (87')
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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