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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
31.45% (![]() | 24.91% (![]() | 43.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.56% (![]() | 46.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.28% (![]() | 68.72% (![]() |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% (![]() | 27.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% (![]() | 63.55% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% (![]() | 21.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% (![]() | 54.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 7.59% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 11.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 97 |
2 | Burnley | 45 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 66 | 15 | 51 | 97 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 45 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 89 |
4 | Sunderland | 45 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 76 |
5 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 67 |
6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 58 | 4 | 66 |
7 | Millwall | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 66 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 19 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 65 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 64 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 61 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 60 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 57 |
13 | Watford | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 56 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 67 | 66 | 1 | 54 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 53 |
16 | Portsmouth | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 70 | -13 | 53 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 13 | 13 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 52 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 50 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 49 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 49 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42 | 64 | -22 | 49 |
22 | Hull City | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 48 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 50 | 86 | -36 | 46 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 44 |
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