MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 15:54:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Burnley logo
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Middlesbrough logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Roberts (37')
Mejbri (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dijksteel (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough

Burnley will be full of confidence after winning each of their last four matches, while they also boast an unbeaten record at Turf Moor this season. With that in mind, the Clarets will be targeting all three points in Friday's contest, but we think that they may have to settle for a point when they face a Middlesbrough side that will be in high spirits after winning four of their previous five matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
31.45% (1.955 1.96) 24.91% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 43.64% (-1.929 -1.93)
Both teams to score 56.71% (1.123 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (1.003 1)46.44% (-1.002 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (0.936 0.94)68.72% (-0.935 -0.94)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (1.827 1.83)27.93% (-1.825 -1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (2.27 2.27)63.55% (-2.269 -2.27)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.446 -0.45)21.31% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.697 -0.7)54.26% (0.699 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 31.45%
    Middlesbrough 43.64%
    Draw 24.91%
BurnleyDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.337 0.34)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.06% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.527 -0.53)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.169 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.511 -0.51)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.055 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.64%

How you voted: Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Burnley
63.9%
Draw
23.0%
Middlesbrough
13.1%
122
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Akpom (48' pen.)
Barnes (12'), Roberts (66')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burnley
3-1
Middlesbrough
Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)
Watmore (49')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gray (80')
Boyd (21'), Mee (42'), Flanagan (54'), Ward (66'), Gray (73'), Hendrick (85')

de Roon (2'), Ramirez (31'), Barragan (45'), Da Silva (80'), Negredo (90')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!