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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 26.84% ( | 24.29% | 48.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( | 46.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( | 68.6% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( | 31.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.55% ( | 67.46% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% | 19.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.41% ( | 50.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 2-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 3-0 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0-2 @ 8.15% ( 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0-3 @ 4.51% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.87% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
| P | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
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