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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough | 
| 33.64% (  0.21) | 24.96% (  0.38) | 41.4% (  -0.59) | 
| Both teams to score 57.35% (  -1.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.04% (  -1.7) | 45.96% (  1.7) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.74% (  -1.62) | 68.26% (  1.63) | 
| Norwich City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.68% (  -0.69) | 26.33% (  0.69) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.54% (  -0.93) | 61.46% (  0.93) | 
| Middlesbrough Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.85% (  -1) | 22.16% (  1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.46% (  -1.53) | 55.55% (  1.54) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough | 
| 2-1 @ 7.83% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% (  0.4) 2-0 @ 5.2% (  0.17) 3-1 @ 3.48% (  -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% (  -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.31% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 1.16% (  -0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.64% | 1-1 @ 11.73% (  0.27) 2-2 @ 5.9% (  -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.83% (  0.41) 3-3 @ 1.32% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.84% (  -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.79% (  0.37) 0-2 @ 6.62% (  0.08) 1-3 @ 4.44% (  -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.33% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% (  -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.67% (  -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.25% (  -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.12% (  -0.1) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.4% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 | 
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 | 
| P | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 | 
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 | 
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 | 
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 | 
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 | 
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 | 
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 | 
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 | 
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 | 
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 | 
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 | 
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 | 
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 | 
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 | 
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 | 
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