Blackburn logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Coventry City
Derby logo
Derby logo
Hull logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Swansea logo
Watford logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
West Brom logo
Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Sainz (8', 71'), Dieng (80' og.)
Ben Slimane (59'), Fisher (74')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Conway (13', 40'), Azaz (45+2')
Morris (23'), Edmundson (25'), McGree (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.64% (0.206 0.21)24.96% (0.384 0.38)41.4% (-0.585 -0.59)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-1.279 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (-1.697 -1.7)45.96% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (-1.624 -1.62)68.26% (1.628 1.63)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.687 -0.69)26.33% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.926 -0.93)61.46% (0.932 0.93)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-1 -1)22.16% (1.004 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (-1.533 -1.53)55.55% (1.537 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 33.64%
    Middlesbrough 41.4%
    Draw 24.96%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.404 0.4)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.64%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.411 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.367 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
55.6%
Draw
31.1%
Middlesbrough
13.3%
90
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-1
Norwich
Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!