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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Middlesbrough logo

Norwich
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Sainz (8', 71'), Dieng (80' og.)
Ben Slimane (59'), Fisher (74')
McLean (87')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Conway (13', 40'), Azaz (45+2')
Morris (23'), Edmundson (25'), McGree (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-2 Norwich
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Middlesbrough

Following back-to-back away draws, Norwich will be keen to get back to winning ways in front of their East Anglia faithful on Sunday afternoon. Middlesbrough will be full of confidence after conquering Sheffield United earlier in the week, and we feel that Boro should be good enough for a point at Carrow Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
33.64% (0.206 0.21) 24.96% (0.384 0.38) 41.4% (-0.585 -0.59)
Both teams to score 57.35% (-1.279 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (-1.697 -1.7)45.96% (1.7 1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (-1.624 -1.62)68.26% (1.628 1.63)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (-0.687 -0.69)26.33% (0.691 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.926 -0.93)61.46% (0.932 0.93)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-1 -1)22.16% (1.004 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (-1.533 -1.53)55.55% (1.537 1.54)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 33.64%
    Middlesbrough 41.4%
    Draw 24.96%
Norwich CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.404 0.4)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 33.64%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.411 0.41)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.367 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Middlesbrough

Norwich City
55.6%
Draw
31.1%
Middlesbrough
13.3%
90
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
3-1
Norwich
Forss (37'), Latte Lath (43'), Engel (62')
Forss (20')
Barnes (17')
McLean (47')
Sainz (30')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Rowe (90+9')
Sara (76'), Rowe (90+5')
Greenwood (46'), Silvera (90+2')
Hackney (89'), Dieng (90+4')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 42
Middlesbrough
5-1
Norwich
Ramsey (7'), Hackney (41'), Archer (43', 45+6'), Akpom (49')
Sargent (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Norwich
1-2
Middlesbrough
Sargent (7')
McGree (64'), Crooks (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Norwich
0-0
Middlesbrough
Buendia (41')
Buendia (67')
Saville (73'), Howson (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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