Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 3
Norwich

Forsyth (60'), Taylor (90+1')
Forsyth (21'), Chirewa (77'), Goudmijn (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sainz (45+3', 65', 87')
Duffy (24'), Cordoba (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Derby
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Watford
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Norwich City
47.07% ( -0.14)	25.93% ( 0.06)	27% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04% (

-0.2)

52.96% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44% (

-0.17)

74.55% (

0.17)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

-0.15)

22.49% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95% (

-0.22)

56.04% (

0.22)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48% (

-0.05)

34.52% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.76% (

-0.05)

71.23% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Derby County 47.07%

Norwich City 27%

Draw 25.92%

Derby County	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 47.07%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 27%