MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:24:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Norwich logo

Derby
2 - 3
Norwich

Forsyth (60'), Taylor (90+1')
Forsyth (21'), Chirewa (77'), Goudmijn (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sainz (45+3', 65', 87')
Duffy (24'), Cordoba (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Derby
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

Norwich City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Watford
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-0 Norwich City

 Derby's home form is keeping them clear of trouble at the start of this season, and we expect that narrative to continue against Norwich on Saturday afternoon. The Canaries are significantly weaker on the road than compared to at their Carrow Road base, meaning that another disappointing outing is on the cards for the East Anglians. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawNorwich City
47.07% (-0.137 -0.14) 25.93% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 27% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.75% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.04% (-0.202 -0.2)52.96% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.44% (-0.171 -0.17)74.55% (0.167 0.17)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (-0.149 -0.15)22.49% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (-0.221 -0.22)56.04% (0.218 0.22)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)34.52% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)71.23% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 47.07%
    Norwich City 27%
    Draw 25.92%
Derby CountyDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 27%

How you voted: Derby vs Norwich

Derby County
50.0%
Draw
22.0%
Norwich City
28.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Derby
0-1
Norwich

Shinnie (11'), Bird (15'), Forsyth (20'), Roberts (68')
Dowell (21')
> Match Report
Oct 3, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Norwich
0-1
Derby

Buendia (44'), Zimmermann (54'), Rupp (86')
Rooney (87')
Shinnie (79'), Knight (79')
> Match Report
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Norwich
3-4
Derby
Godfrey (25'), Pukki (31', 81')
Zimmermann (5'), Aarons (45'), Vrancic (62')
Tomori (36'), Mount (45'), Jozefzoon (87'), Marriott (90')
Evans (66'), Holmes (90'), Wilson (90')
> Match Report
Oct 3, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Derby
1-1
Norwich
Bryson (86')
Bogle (62')
Klose (69')
Zimmermann (45'), Lewis (54')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Derby
1-1
Norwich
Vydra (12')
Carson (39'), Weimann (90')
Maddison (72' pen.)
Tettey (30'), Reed (53'), Srbeny (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!