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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Bristol City

Derby
3 - 0
Bristol City

Goudmijn (28'), Jackson (60'), Ozoh (89')
Nyambe (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
39.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)32.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)58.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.0020000000000095 0)28.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3%64.7% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)70.06% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 39.62%
    Bristol City 32.38%
    Draw 27.98%
Derby CountyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 3.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 32.38%

How you voted: Derby vs Bristol City

Derby County
36.0%
Draw
22.0%
Bristol City
42.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Derby
1-3
Bristol City
Forsyth (61')
Byrne (54')
Weimann (10'), Semenyo (38'), Klose (79')
Williams (9'), Benarous (16'), Semenyo (63')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol City
1-0
Derby
Scott (16')
Bakinson (39'), Kalas (45+1'), Pring (80')

Knight (39'), Forsyth (40')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Derby
1-0
Bristol City

Vyner (54')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bristol City
1-0
Derby
Diedhiou (78')
Paterson (46')

Buchanan (58')
Feb 12, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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