MX23RW : Tuesday, August 13 23:04:12| >> :120:43133:43133:
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EFL Cup
Derby logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Chesterfield

Derby
2 - 1
Chesterfield

Thompson (38'), Jackson (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dobra (29')
Daley-Campbell (86')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Derby County and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Blackburn 4-2 Derby
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in Championship

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon
Friday, August 9 at 8pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Chesterfield has a probability of 27.23% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Chesterfield win is 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.92%).

Result
Derby CountyDrawChesterfield
49.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.53% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 27.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.69% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (0.012999999999998 0.01)42.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (0.014000000000003 0.01)65.01% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.012 0.01)17.45% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)47.91% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 49.24%
    Chesterfield 27.23%
    Draw 23.52%
Derby CountyDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.23%

How you voted: Derby vs Chesterfield

Derby County
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Chesterfield
11.1%
9
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