Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 13, 2024 at 6pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
3 - 3
Salzburg

(Red Bull Salzburg win 5-4 on aggregate)

Hilgers (43'), van Hoorenbeeck (64'), Steijn (87')
Rots (24'), Vlap (37'), Hilgers (51'), Steijn (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kjaergaard (17'), Dorgeles (25'), Kounfolo Yeo (46')
Gourna-Douath (9'), Blaswich (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FC Twente and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, August 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Salzburg 5-1 BW Linz
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
45.98% ( -0.08)	22.39% ( -0.03)	31.62% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 65.92% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.6% (

0.21)

34.4% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.68% (

0.24)

56.32% (

-0.23)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46% (

0.05)

15.54% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.53% (

0.1)

44.47% (

-0.1)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

0.16)

21.96% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

0.24)

55.25% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 45.98%

Red Bull Salzburg 31.62%

Draw 22.39%

FC Twente	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 45.98%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 31.62%