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Champions League

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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 6pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Red Bull Salzburg

FC Twente
3 - 3
Salzburg

Hilgers (43'), van Hoorenbeeck (64'), Steijn (87')
Rots (24'), Vlap (37'), Hilgers (51'), Steijn (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kjaergaard (17'), Dorgeles (25'), Kounfolo Yeo (46')
Gourna-Douath (9'), Blaswich (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FC Twente and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, August 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Salzburg 5-1 BW Linz
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
FC TwenteDrawRed Bull Salzburg
45.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)22.39% (-0.032 -0.03)31.62% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.92% (0.17800000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.211 0.21)34.4% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.236 0.24)56.32% (-0.235 -0.23)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (0.054000000000002 0.05)15.54% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53% (0.098999999999997 0.1)44.47% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.16200000000001 0.16)21.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.24299999999999 0.24)55.25% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 45.98%
    Red Bull Salzburg 31.62%
    Draw 22.39%
FC TwenteDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Salzburg

FC Twente
32.3%
Draw
10.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
56.9%
130
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 7.45pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Salzburg
2-1
FC Twente
Kjaergaard (41', 85')
Gourna-Douath (44')
Vlap (90+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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