Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente | 
| 54.7% (  -1.03) | 21.69% (  0.28) | 23.61% (  0.75) | 
| Both teams to score 61.39% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.65% (  -0.46) | 37.35% (  0.45) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.43% (  -0.49) | 59.57% (  0.49) | 
| AZ Alkmaar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.3% (  -0.47) | 13.69% (  0.47) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.08% (  -0.94) | 40.92% (  0.93) | 
| FC Twente Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.13% (  0.36) | 28.87% (  -0.37) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.26% (  0.45) | 64.73% (  -0.45) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente | 
| 2-1 @ 9.71% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% (  -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.43% (  -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.18% (  -0.16) 3-2 @ 4% (  -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.2% (  -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.57% (  -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.99% (  -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.27% (  -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.02% (  -0.07) Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 9.76% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 6.03% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 3.95% (  0.09) 3-3 @ 1.66% (  0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 6.07% (  0.15) 0-1 @ 4.91% (  0.16) 0-2 @ 3.05% (  0.13) 1-3 @ 2.51% (  0.09) 2-3 @ 2.5% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% (  0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 23.61% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 | 
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 | 
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 | 
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 | 
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 | 
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 | 
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 | 
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
