Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
78.07% (![]() | 13.68% (![]() | 8.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.59% (![]() | 31.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.13% (![]() | 52.87% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.55% (![]() | 6.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.87% (![]() | 24.13% (![]() |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.87% (![]() | 45.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.96% (![]() | 81.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-0 @ 10.93% (![]() 3-0 @ 9.99% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.88% Total : 78.07% | 1-1 @ 6.35% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 13.68% | 1-2 @ 2.53% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.56% Total : 8.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |