MX23RW : Tuesday, April 1 13:04:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Waalwijk logo

AZ
3 - 2
RKC Waalwijk

Sugawara (66'), Sadiq (75'), Pavlidis (77')
Goes (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Min (3', 42')
Min (67'), Lokesa (74'), Vaessen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 RKC Waalwijk

AZ are currently undergoing a rough patch but will still fancy their chances of securing maximum points from this one. We fully expect the hosts to get the job done with relative ease come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
78.07% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 13.68% (0.035 0.04) 8.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.59% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)31.41% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)52.87% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)6.45% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.87% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)24.13% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.022000000000006 0.02)45.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.016000000000002 0.02)81.03% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 78.07%
    RKC Waalwijk 8.24%
    Draw 13.68%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 6.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 78.07%
1-1 @ 6.35% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.68%
1-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 8.24%

How you voted: AZ vs RKC Waalwijk

AZ Alkmaar
82.1%
Draw
10.7%
RKC Waalwijk
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Kramer (41' pen.)
Kramer (58'), Margaret (76')
Pavlidis (54', 79'), De Wit (59')
Poku (63')
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mijnans (8'), Lahdo (50'), Van Brederode (63')
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
AZ
Bel Hassani (32'), Bakkali (87', 90+1')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
1-3
RKC Waalwijk
De Wit (45+1')
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')
De Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax27214257203767
2PSV EindhovenPSV27184578324658
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2715754839952
4Feyenoord26148457312650
5FC Twente27137753391446
6AZ AlkmaarAZ26136745291645
7Go Ahead Eagles2713594943644
8Groningen2688102534-932
9Fortuna SittardSittard2795133246-1432
10Heracles27710103548-1331
11Heerenveen2787123248-1631
12NECNijmegen2786134040030
13NAC BredaNAC Breda2786132945-1630
14PEC Zwolle2778123241-929
15Sparta RotterdamSparta27610112835-728
16Willem II2766152844-1624
17Almere CityAlmere City2746171850-3218
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2645173254-2217


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