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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Technique Stadium
Carlisle United

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Carlisle

Mandeville (73'), Madden (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hugill (89')
Hugill (70'), Thomas (90+3')
Embleton (40')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Chesterfield and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 3-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawCarlisle United
56.55%22.87%20.59%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59%46.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31%68.69%
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8%16.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31%45.69%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31%36.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52%73.48%
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 56.54%
    Carlisle United 20.59%
    Draw 22.86%
ChesterfieldDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.85%
3-1 @ 5.99%
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 0.99%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.96%
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Carlisle

Chesterfield
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Carlisle United
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Carlisle
0-2
Chesterfield

Vela (32'), Kelly (52'), Hayden (67')
Markanday (25'), Grigg (75')
Grimes (52'), Banks (73')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Chesterfield
Etuhu (19'), O'Sullivan (82')
Liddle (41')

Barry (36'), Kellett (63'), Brown (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Carlisle
3-1
Chesterfield
Ibehre (75', 108'), Osei (122')
Dicker (72'), Raynes (78'), Rigg (112')
Dieseruvwe (84')
Evatt (45'), Morsy (50')
Dieseruvwe (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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