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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Technique Stadium
Carlisle United

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Carlisle

Mandeville (73'), Madden (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hugill (89')
Hugill (70'), Thomas (90+3')
Embleton (40')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Chesterfield and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 3-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawCarlisle United
56.55%22.87%20.59%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59%46.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31%68.69%
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8%16.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31%45.69%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31%36.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52%73.48%
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 56.54%
    Carlisle United 20.59%
    Draw 22.86%
ChesterfieldDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.85%
3-1 @ 5.99%
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.72%
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 0.99%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 5.96%
1-2 @ 5.44%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.59%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Carlisle

Chesterfield
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Carlisle United
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Carlisle
0-2
Chesterfield

Vela (32'), Kelly (52'), Hayden (67')
Markanday (25'), Grigg (75')
Grimes (52'), Banks (73')
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Chesterfield
Etuhu (19'), O'Sullivan (82')
Liddle (41')

Barry (36'), Kellett (63'), Brown (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Carlisle
3-1
Chesterfield
Ibehre (75', 108'), Osei (122')
Dicker (72'), Raynes (78'), Rigg (112')
Dieseruvwe (84')
Evatt (45'), Morsy (50')
Dieseruvwe (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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