

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 26.98% ( | 29.51% ( | 43.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.78% ( | 65.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.95% ( | 84.04% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.68% ( | 41.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.16% ( | 77.84% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% ( | 29.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.98% ( | 66.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 3-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 26.98% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0-0 @ 12.36% ( 2-2 @ 3.52% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 14.91% ( 0-2 @ 9% ( 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 43.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| R | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| R | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
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