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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Casa Pia

Farense
0 - 0
Casa Pia


Africo (20'), Neto (22'), Falcao (61'), Poloni (72')
FT

Brito (87'), Geraldes (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Farense
Wednesday, April 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Casa Pia

Farense are in a desperate situation as the threat of demotion becomes more tangible by the week, so expect them to make things difficult for Casa Pia, who have been poor on the road this year. However, the Lions of Faro are yet to win a single match in 2025, and though they could add to their tally, they are unlikely to change that unfortunate record on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawCasa Pia
33.25% (-0.162 -0.16) 26.72% (0.0030000000000001 0) 40.03% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.43% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)53.56% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)75.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.13 -0.13)30.29% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (-0.155 -0.16)66.46% (0.151 0.15)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)26.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (0.085000000000001 0.09)61.36% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 33.25%
    Casa Pia 40.02%
    Draw 26.72%
SC FarenseDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 33.25%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 10.63% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.02%

How you voted: Farense vs Casa Pia

SC Farense
25.0%
Draw
20.0%
Casa Pia
55.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Casa Pia
1-1
Farense
Cassiano (32' pen.)
Brito (4'), Kraev (61'), Larrazabal (84'), Kluivert (90+6')
Balde (7')
Merghem (41'), Victor (72'), Moreno Ojeda (77')
Jan 20, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 18
Casa Pia
1-3
Farense
Fernando (87')
Matias (24'), Muscat (40'), Duarte (75')
Muscat (90+5'), Mota (90')
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Farense
0-3
Casa Pia

Elbachir Belloumi (65'), Barbosa (90+2')
Clayton (15'), Roberto dos Santos (64'), Godwin (90' pen.)
Neto (45+3'), Batista (49'), Mukendi (74'), Zolotic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
16SC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
18BoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524


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