We said: SC Farense 1-1 Casa Pia
Farense are in a desperate situation as the threat of demotion becomes more tangible by the week, so expect them to make things difficult for Casa Pia, who have been poor on the road this year.
However, the Lions of Faro are yet to win a single match in 2025, and though they could add to their tally, they are unlikely to change that unfortunate record on Monday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.