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Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Newcastle logo

Arsenal
1 - 0
Newcastle

Rice (55')
Arteta (81'), Arteta (81'), Raya (90+4'), Kiwior (90+8'), Havertz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Krafth (64'), Burn (90+8'), Willock (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal confirm their place in next season's Champions League as Declan Rice's stunner seals a 1-0 victory over top-five rivals Newcastle United at the Emirates Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League showdown with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-0 Chelsea
Sunday, May 11 at 12pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawNewcastle United
50.88% (-1.203 -1.2)22.64% (0.193 0.19)26.47% (1.003 1)
Both teams to score 61.14% (0.329 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.92% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.6% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)61.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.417 -0.42)15.54% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (-0.775 -0.77)44.48% (0.771 0.77)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.739 0.74)27.6% (-0.745 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.86% (0.944 0.94)63.13% (-0.95 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 50.88%
    Newcastle United 26.47%
    Draw 22.64%
ArsenalDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 50.88%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.16% (0.082 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.181 0.18)
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.115 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.146 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 26.47%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Newcastle

Arsenal
48.8%
Draw
22.4%
Newcastle United
28.8%
205
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Newcastle
2-0
Arsenal
Murphy (20'), Gordon (52')
Guimaraes (47'), Schar (90+3')

Havertz (42'), Saliba (44'), Sterling (83')
Jan 7, 2025 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Arsenal
0-2
Newcastle

Zinchenko (81')
Isak (38'), Gordon (51')
Joelinton (42'), Gordon (55'), Livramento (90+5')
Nov 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 10
Newcastle
1-0
Arsenal
Isak (12')
Schar (39'), Willock (62'), Tonali (71'), Pope (90+4')

Merino (56'), Maduro (66'), Jorginho (88'), Havertz (90+7')
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Arsenal
4-1
Newcastle
Botman (18' og.), Havertz (24'), Saka (65'), Kiwior (69')
Odegaard (7')
Willock (84')
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newcastle
1-0
Arsenal
Gordon (64')
Gordon (37'), Longstaff (38'), Schar (38'), Guimaraes (88'), Livramento (90+1')

Havertz (37')
Build-up
Alexander Isak celebrates scoring for Newcastle United against Ipswich Town, on December 21, 2024
Arsenal vs. Newcastle starting XIs confirmed as huge Declan Rice, Alexander Isak shocks revealed
Arsenal and Newcastle United confirm their starting lineups for Sunday's Premier League showdown at the Emirates Stadium.
May 18, 14:19
Charles Watts/Alexander Isak composite image
Arsenal vs. Newcastle: Mikel Arteta sent Ethan Nwaneri demand for final Premier League home game
Arsenal cannot be considered the favourites for Sunday's game with Newcastle United, where Mikel Arteta must re-introduce a promising attacker to the starting XI.
May 17, 14:24
Arsenal's William Saliba on May 3, 2025
William Saliba out to equal Sol Campbell Arsenal record in Newcastle fixture
Arsenal defender William Saliba will have the chance to equal a club record when the Gunners face Newcastle United on Sunday.
May 17, 12:44
Newcastle United's Sven Botman on March 2, 2024
Newcastle lineup vs. Arsenal: Predicted XI for Premier League clash as Eddie Howe delivers Sven Botman latest
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.
May 16, 13:17
Arsenal's Kai Havertz in action on August 7, 2024
Arsenal lineup vs. Newcastle: Predicted XI for Premier League clash as Mikel Arteta makes Kai Havertz call
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Sunday's Premier League showdown with Newcastle United.
May 16, 13:15
Arsenal's Kai Havertz pictured on September 22, 2024
Mikel Arteta gives triple Arsenal injury update before Newcastle as Kai Havertz question answered
Mikel Arteta provides updates on Kai Havertz, Declan Rice and Leandro Trossard ahead of Arsenal's Premier League clash with Newcastle United on Sunday.
May 16, 12:55
Arsenal's Declan Rice reacts on September 25, 2024
Arsenal injury, suspension list and return dates for Newcastle clash: Rice, Trossard, Havertz latest
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League showdown with Newcastle United.
May 15, 09:27
Arsenal's Kai Havertz and Leandro Trossard pictured on February 20, 2024
Arsenal training latest: Three boosts and one scare for Mikel Arteta before Newcastle clash
Arsenal receive three injury boosts in Wednesday's open training session at the Emirates ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.
May 14, 13:26
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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