Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.