Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Arsenal

Gordon (64')
Gordon (37'), Longstaff (38'), Schar (38'), Guimaraes (88'), Livramento (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Havertz (37')

Arsenal handed Martin Odegaard injury concern

Arsenal captain Martin Odegaard is ruled out of Saturday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United, with Mikel Arteta declaring the midfielder is "not fit".

Nov 4, 17:45

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta reacts in November 2023

"An absolute disgrace" - Mikel Arteta blasts officials over Anthony Gordon goal

Mikel Arteta claims he "feels embarrassed" by an "absolute disgrace" of a decision to allow Anthony Gordon's goal in Arsenal's 1-0 loss to Newcastle United.

Nov 4, 21:14

Arsenal players look dejected after losing to Newcastle United on November 4, 2023

Arsenal slam "unacceptable refereeing" in controversial Newcastle loss

Arsenal release a strongly-worded statement condemning the "unacceptable" refereeing in their 1-0 Premier League defeat to Newcastle United on Saturday.

Nov 5, 16:35

Arsenal 'to present list of refereeing decisions that have gone against them'

Arsenal reportedly compile a list of the disputed decisions that have gone against them to present to the Premier League at their next meeting.

Nov 7, 20:02

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta charged over Newcastle United comments

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta is charged by the FA over comments he made about the officials in his side's 1-0 loss to Newcastle United earlier this month.

Nov 16, 21:10

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Newcastle
Wednesday, November 1 at 8.15pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Arsenal
35.42% ( 1.31)	25.06% ( -0.46)	39.51% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 57.38% (

1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

2.29)

46.08% (

-2.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

2.13)

68.38% (

-2.13)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

1.86)

25.34% (

-1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

2.48)

60.13% (

-2.48)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86% (

0.59)

23.14% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.99% (

0.85)

57.01% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 35.42%

Arsenal 39.51%

Draw 25.06%

Newcastle United	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.42%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.59) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.7) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.51%