Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
0 - 1
Arsenal

Young (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Trossard (69')
Magalhaes (47')

Gabriel Martinelli suffers hamstring injury ahead of North London derby

Arsenal's Gabriel Martinelli suffers a hamstring injury against Everton ahead of the Gunners' clashes with PSV Eindhoven and Tottenham Hotspur.

Sep 17, 19:13

Arsenal goalkeeper David Raya pictured on September 17, 2023

Mikel Arteta reflects on goalkeeping "regrets" after Everton win

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta admits to wanting to substitute his goalkeeper on more than one occasion in the past following the Gunners' 1-0 win over Everton.

Sep 17, 22:34

Arsenal's Gabriel Martinelli scores their first goal before being disallowed after a VAR review on September 17, 2023

Mark Halsey questions disallowed Gabriel Martinelli goal in Everton win

Former Premier League referee Mark Halsey questions the decision to disallow Gabriel Martinelli's goal in Arsenal's 1-0 win over Everton on Sunday.

Sep 18, 11:27

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 Everton
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
Everton	Draw	Arsenal
17.86% ( -0.68)	22.12% ( -0.31)	60.02% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87% (

0.23)

47.13% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.63% (

0.22)

69.37% (

-0.22)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.91% (

-0.65)

40.09% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26% (

-0.6)

76.74% (

0.6)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.71% (

0.4)

15.29% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56% (

0.75)

44% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Everton 17.86%

Arsenal 60.02%

Draw 22.12%

Everton	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.86%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.12%	0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.81% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.77% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 60.02%