

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Fulham |
| 36.66% ( | 26.87% ( | 36.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.16% ( | 53.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.7% ( | 75.3% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% ( | 28.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.99% ( | 64.01% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( | 28.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.84% ( | 64.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 82 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 67 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 63 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 63 |
| 6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 61 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 49 | 6 | 60 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 52 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Everton | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 38 |
| 17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 37 |
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 22 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 35 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 29 | 76 | -47 | 21 |
| R | Southampton | 35 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 82 | -57 | 11 |
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