Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 10, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Anduva

Mirandes
3 - 2
Castellon

Iruretagoiena Lertxundi (24'), Tomeo (70'), Benito (81')
Parada Gonzalez (34'), Alonso (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanchez (44'), Cipenga (87')
van den Belt (65'), Vertrouwd (68'), Sanchez (78')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Mirandes and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eibar 0-1 Mirandes
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Castellon 4-3 Sporting Gijon
Monday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.

Result
MirandesDrawCastellon
49.68% (-0.286 -0.29)25.15% (0.065000000000001 0.07)25.17% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 51.55% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)51.15% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)73% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Mirandes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)20.6% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.241 -0.24)53.15% (0.239 0.24)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (0.14400000000001 0.14)35.06% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.152 0.15)71.81% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Mirandes 49.67%
    Castellon 25.17%
    Draw 25.15%
MirandesDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49.67%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 25.17%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Castellon
1-3
Mirandes
Sanchez (90')
Jimenez (45+4'), Chirino (46')
Calavera Espinach (45+3')
Panichelli (20', 24'), Iruretagoiena Lertxundi (29')
Iruretagoiena Lertxundi (51')
Feb 7, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Castellon
0-1
Mirandes
Martin (66')
Moreno (90+1')
Nov 28, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mirandes
1-1
Castellon
Jackson (12')
Cubillas (68')
Garcia (63'), Satrustegui (80')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Levante422213769422779
2ElcheElche422211959342577
3MirandesMirandes422291159401975
4Real Oviedo422112956421475
5Racing de SantanderRacing4220111165511471
6Almeria4219121172551769
7Granada4218111365541165
8Huesca421810145849964
9EibarEibar421513144441358
10Albacete421513145757058
11Sporting GijonSporting Gijon421414145754356
12CadizCadiz421413155553255
13CordobaCordoba421413155963-455
14Burgos421510174148-755
15CastellonCastellon421411176563253
16Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo421314155654253
17Malaga421217134246-453
18Real ZaragozaZaragoza421312175663-751
19Eldense421112194463-1945
20TenerifeTenerife42812223555-2036
21Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol42612242264-4230
22CartagenaCartagena4265313378-4523


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!