Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 5, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia
Castellon4 - 3Sporting Gijon
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Castellon and Sporting Gijon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Castellon
Sunday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, April 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
53
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Sporting Gijon
Friday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Friday, April 25 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
46
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
44.94% ( -0.15) | 26.25% ( 0.33) | 28.81% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
