Segunda Division | Gameweek 37
Apr 27, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Malaga1 - 0Castellon
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Castellon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eibar 2-2 Malaga
Monday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Monday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Castellon 4-1 Almeria
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
53
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Castellon |
39.11% ( -0.43) | 27.93% ( -0) | 32.95% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
