Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.