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Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2025 at 12am UK
Banc of California Stadium
St Louis City

Los Angeles
2 - 2
St Louis City

Bouanga (70', 90+5')
Tillman (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Teuchert (51'), Ordaz (89' og.)
Morales (48')
Morales (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portland 3-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 20 at 3.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Vancouver
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-0 St Louis City

St Louis do not leave many gaps in behind, but neither do LAFC, and we believe playing on the back foot, as we anticipate for long stretches, will eventually cost the visitors on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSt Louis City
65.06% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 19.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 15.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 55.68% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (0.047999999999995 0.05)38.27% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (0.051000000000002 0.05)60.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (0.015999999999991 0.02)11.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.62% (0.037999999999997 0.04)35.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (0.024999999999999 0.02)37.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.82% (0.026999999999997 0.03)74.18% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 65.06%
    St Louis City 15.66%
    Draw 19.27%
Los Angeles FCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 65.06%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.06% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 15.66%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs St Louis City

Los Angeles FC
100%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 3.30am
May 16, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
0-2
Los Angeles

Markanich (27'), Pompeu (58'), Blom (82'), Jackson (84'), Vassilev (90+2')
Markanich (75')
Bouanga (59', 90+5')
Tillman (45+5'), Duenas (86')
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-0
St Louis City
Vela (72'), Biuk (82'), Cifuentes (90+2')
Cifuentes (13'), Maldonado (29')

Bell (51'), Nerwinski (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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