Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.