Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.