Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
May 10, 2025 at 1pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
3 - 1
Sichuan

Liangming (28'), Serginho (44'), Rodrigues (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dugalic (49')
Karzev (22'), Wang (76'), Zhang (90+3')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Sichuan Jiuniu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Dalian Zhixing 0-2 Beijing Guoan
Monday, May 5 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Sichuan Jiuniu

All competitions
Last Game: Qingdao Youth Island 0-0 Sichuan
Tuesday, May 6 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawSichuan Jiuniu
66.49% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)19.18% (0.058 0.06)14.33% (0.025 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)40.7% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91% (-0.23200000000001 -0.23)63.09% (0.234 0.23)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)11.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.9% (-0.188 -0.19)36.09% (0.189 0.19)
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.3% (-0.113 -0.11)40.7% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.71% (-0.099 -0.1)77.29% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 66.48%
    Sichuan Jiuniu 14.33%
    Draw 19.18%
Beijing GuoanDrawSichuan Jiuniu
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.068 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 66.48%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.18%
0-1 @ 4.16% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 14.33%

Head to Head
Jul 26, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 20
Sichuan
1-0
Beijing Guoan
Garcia (79' pen.)
Song (27'), Li (90+4')

Han (77'), Yang (82'), Abreu (90+4')
Apr 9, 2024 12.35pm
Gameweek 5
Beijing Guoan
1-2
Sichuan
Xizhe (90+6' pen.)
Hao (31'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (82')
Li (24'), Garcia (66' pen.)
Yudong (29'), Zhu (45+8'), Li (51'), Wang (87')