Chinese Super League | Gameweek 11
May 5, 2025 at 8.30am UK
Beijing National Stadium

Dalian Zhixing
0 - 2
Beijing Guoan


Zhao (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ziming (19'), Abreu (22')
Yuan (83')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Zhixing and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dalian Zhixing

All competitions
Last Game: Dalian Zhixing 3-2 Yunnan Yukun
Thursday, May 1 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-2 Beijing Guoan
Thursday, May 1 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Dalian ZhixingDrawBeijing Guoan
46.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0)28.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)50.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.51% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Dalian Zhixing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)21.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.018999999999998 0.02)54.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.95% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dalian Zhixing 46.43%
    Beijing Guoan 28.07%
    Draw 25.49%
Dalian ZhixingDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 46.43%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.07%