Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10
May 1, 2025 at 8.30am UK
Beijing National Stadium

Dalian Zhixing
3 - 2
Yunnan Yukun

Malele (5'), Labyad (23'), Liu (48')
Traore (22'), Fei (85'), Mao (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Han (90'), Hou (90+7')
Zhang (64'), Han (90+1')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Zhixing and Yunnan Yukun.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dalian Zhixing

All competitions
Last Game: Sichuan 1-1 Dalian Zhixing
Saturday, April 26 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Yunnan Yukun

All competitions
Last Game: Yunnan Yukun 2-3 Shanghai Port
Friday, April 25 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 49.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Yunnan Yukun had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Yunnan Yukun win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Zhixing would win this match.

Result
Dalian ZhixingDrawYunnan Yukun
49.57% (0.050999999999995 0.05)26.44% (-0.093 -0.09)23.99% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.68% (0.291 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (0.358 0.36)56.95% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (0.287 0.29)77.86% (-0.291 -0.29)
Dalian Zhixing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.173 0.17)23.05% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.26 0.26)56.88% (-0.265 -0.27)
Yunnan Yukun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (0.238 0.24)39.33% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (0.222 0.22)76.03% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Dalian Zhixing 49.57%
    Yunnan Yukun 23.99%
    Draw 26.43%
Dalian ZhixingDrawYunnan Yukun
1-0 @ 13.3% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.57%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.07% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 23.99%