Chinese Super League | Gameweek 8
Apr 20, 2025 at 8.30am UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
0 - 0
Yunnan Yukun


Long (68')
FT

Han (89')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Yunnan Yukun.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Sichuan 3-1 Changchun
Tuesday, April 15 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Yunnan Yukun

All competitions
Last Game: Chengdu 1-1 Yunnan Yukun
Wednesday, April 16 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yunnan Yukun win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yunnan Yukun win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawYunnan Yukun
32.08% (-0.211 -0.21)24.84% (0.245 0.25)43.08% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.23% (-0.938 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12% (-1.187 -1.19)45.88% (1.188 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81% (-1.138 -1.14)68.19% (1.137 1.14)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.712 -0.71)27.25% (0.712 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.935 -0.94)62.68% (0.934 0.93)
Yunnan Yukun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)21.33% (0.514 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (-0.801 -0.8)54.29% (0.80099999999999 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 32.08%
    Yunnan Yukun 43.08%
    Draw 24.83%
Changchun YataiDrawYunnan Yukun
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.288 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.311 0.31)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.08%