Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sichuan Jiuniu in this match.

Result
Sichuan Jiuniu	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
48.49% ( -0.04)	24.92% ( -0)	26.59% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 53.53% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.05)

49.17% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

0.05)

71.24% (

-0.05)

Sichuan Jiuniu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

0.01)

20.31% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.32% (

0.01)

52.68% (

-0.01)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

0.07)

32.83% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

0.07)

69.4% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu 48.48%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26.59%

Draw 24.91%

Sichuan Jiuniu	Draw	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2% 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 48.48%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.59%