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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Bayern
2 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Kane (31'), Olise (90')
Olise (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Weigl (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 78.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 9.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
78.13% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)12.68% (0.02 0.02)9.18% (0.019 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.84% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)22.15% (0.041 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)41.11% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.44% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)4.56% (0.015 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.37% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)18.62% (0.044 0.04)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)35.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 78.13%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 9.18%
    Draw 12.68%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
3-1 @ 8.23%
3-0 @ 8.01%
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23%
5-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 2.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-2 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 5.15%
Total : 78.13%
1-1 @ 5.17% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 1.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 12.68%
1-2 @ 2.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 9.18%

How you voted: Bayern vs Borussia M'bach

Bayern Munich
73.6%
Draw
11.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach
15.1%
53
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Borussia M'bach
0-1
Bayern

Scally (53'), Ullrich (66'), Weigl (90')
Kane (68' pen.)
Min-jae (81')
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Bayern
3-1
Borussia M'bach
Pavlovic (45'), Kane (70'), De Ligt (86')
Elvedi (35')
Neuhaus (30')
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Borussia M'bach
1-2
Bayern
Itakura (30')
Sane (58'), Tel (87')
Mazraoui (22'), Coman (60')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Borussia M'bach
3-2
Bayern
Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
1-1
Borussia M'bach
Sane (83')
Kimmich (63'), Sabitzer (64'), Sane (80'), Nagelsmann (81'), Pavard (90+5')
Thuram (43')
Plea (37'), Kramer (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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