

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.68%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (7.83%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.32%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 86.68% ( | 8.39% ( | 4.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 83.88% ( | 16.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 67.66% ( | 32.34% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.55% ( | 2.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 88.47% ( | 11.52% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.48% ( | 40.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.88% ( | 77.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 4-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 7.63% ( 4-1 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 5-0 @ 5.81% ( 5-1 @ 5.25% ( 1-0 @ 3.68% ( 6-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 6-1 @ 3.25% ( 4-2 @ 3.2% ( 5-2 @ 2.37% ( 7-0 @ 1.91% ( 7-1 @ 1.72% ( 6-2 @ 1.47% ( 4-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 6.08% Total : 86.68% | 1-1 @ 3.32% ( 2-2 @ 2.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 8.39% | 1-2 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 4.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 93 | 32 | 61 | 76 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 68 | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 56 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 50 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 47 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 45 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 44 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 37 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 25 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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