MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 21:31:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Bayern logo

Augsburg
2 - 3
Bayern

Demirovic (52', 90+4' pen.)
Mbabu (19'), Iago (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pavlovic (23'), Davies (45+5'), Kane (58')
de Ligt (6'), Pavlovic (67'), Sane (80'), Guerreiro (90+6'), Goretzka (90+7'), Neuer (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Bayern Munich

 Augsburg's recent home record against Bayern bodes well ahead of Saturday's contest, but their 21-game run without keeping a clean sheet is a cause for concern when coming up against a Bavarian outfit who have scored in each of their last 21 Bundesliga away games. The hosts have the ability to frustrate Bayern, but Tuchel's men will likely dominate proceedings at the WWK Arena and should have few problems outscoring their opponents en route to another important victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-3 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
13.76% (0.078000000000001 0.08) 16.27% (0.038 0.04) 69.97% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 62.44% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.45% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.55% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)48.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (0.10300000000001 0.1)32.79% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.115 0.12)69.35% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.9% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)7.1% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.11% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)25.89% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 13.76%
    Bayern Munich 69.97%
    Draw 16.27%
AugsburgDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 2.6% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.45% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 13.76%
1-1 @ 6.87% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.33%
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.27%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 8.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.18% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.75% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.95% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-5 @ 2.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.56%
1-6 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 69.97%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Bayern

Augsburg
22.7%
Draw
17.3%
Bayern Munich
60.0%
75
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-1
Augsburg
Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')
Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
5-3
Augsburg
Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
Berisha (2', 60'), Cardona (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Augsburg
1-0
Bayern
Berisha (59')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Bayern
1-0
Augsburg
Lewandowski (82' pen.)
Kouassi (68')

Oxford (36'), Weinzierl (80'), Dorsch (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!