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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Augsburg logo

Bayern
3 - 1
Augsburg

Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 4-4 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Augsburg

 Augsburg appeared wide open defensively during their draw against Gladbach, with the likes of Kane, Sane and Kingsley Coman likely to be licking their lips at the prospect of coming up against them this weekend. Although the loss of Musiala through injury could have a minor impact on the hosts' offensive fluidity, we still expect them to ease to a heavy victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
74.15% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 14.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 11.29% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.42% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.61% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)25.39% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.15% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)5.85% (0.0099 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.54% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)22.46% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)34.76% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (0.027999999999999 0.03)71.49% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.16%
    Augsburg 11.29%
    Draw 14.56%
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.07%
5-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 74.16%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 14.56%
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.29%

How you voted: Bayern vs Augsburg

Bayern Munich
88.6%
Draw
5.7%
Augsburg
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
5-3
Augsburg
Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
Berisha (2', 60'), Cardona (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Augsburg
1-0
Bayern
Berisha (59')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Bayern
1-0
Augsburg
Lewandowski (82' pen.)
Kouassi (68')

Oxford (36'), Weinzierl (80'), Dorsch (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Augsburg
2-1
Bayern
Pedersen (23'), Hahn (36')
Hahn (45'), Framberger (79'), Weinzierl (90+1')
Lewandowski (38')
Hernandez (45+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217
> Bundesliga Full Table


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