

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach | 
| 32.38% (  -4.9) | 23.43% (  0.91) | 44.19% (  3.99) | 
| Both teams to score 62.4% (  -4.81) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.84% (  -5.75) | 39.16% (  5.75) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.51% (  -6.29) | 61.49% (  6.29) | 
| Augsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.18% (  -5.17) | 23.82% (  5.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.01% (  -8.02) | 57.99% (  8.02) | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.91% (  -0.71) | 18.09% (  0.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.98% (  -1.23) | 49.02% (  1.23) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach | 
| 2-1 @ 7.58% (  -0.42) 1-0 @ 6.18% (  0.74) 2-0 @ 4.44% (  -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.63% (  -0.85) 3-2 @ 3.1% (  -0.82) 3-0 @ 2.12% (  -0.44) 4-1 @ 1.3% (  -0.58) 4-2 @ 1.11% (  -0.53) Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 10.57% (  1.05) 2-2 @ 6.48% (  -0.52) 0-0 @ 4.31% (  1.07) 3-3 @ 1.77% (  -0.52) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.04% (  0.7) 0-1 @ 7.37% (  1.7) 0-2 @ 6.3% (  1.34) 1-3 @ 5.15% (  0.29) 2-3 @ 3.69% (  -0.39) 0-3 @ 3.59% (  0.69) 1-4 @ 2.2% (  0.07) 2-4 @ 1.58% (  -0.21) 0-4 @ 1.53% (  0.27) Other @ 3.74% Total : 44.19% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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