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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 78.22%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 8.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
78.22% (![]() | 12.86% (![]() | 8.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.79% (![]() | 24.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.13% (![]() | 43.87% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.05% (![]() | 4.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.18% (![]() | 19.81% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.96% (![]() | 38.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% (![]() | 74.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
3-0 @ 8.52% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 4.48% Total : 78.22% | 1-1 @ 5.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.97% 0-0 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 12.86% | 1-2 @ 2.64% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 8.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 64 | 35 | 29 | 64 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 52 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 |
5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 45 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 |
14 | St Pauli | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |