Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.