

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 32.59% ( | 22.09% ( | 45.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.53% ( | 32.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.89% ( | 54.1% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( | 20.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.01% ( | 52.99% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( | 15.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.48% ( | 43.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 2-0 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.59% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-0 @ 3.08% 3-3 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0-1 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 2-3 @ 4.39% ( 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 1-4 @ 2.62% ( 2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 3-4 @ 1.1% 1-5 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 45.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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