We said: FC Koln 1-3 Bayern Munich
As mentioned above, Bayern tend to return to their best after a setback, so despite the hosts being in excellent form overall, particularly at home, we fully expect the champions to win on Saturday.
Koln will look to frustrate the visitors and will likely put in another hard-fought display, but Bayern should have far too much quality for them with many of their players returning.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-3 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a FC Koln win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
