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Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia Union
NY City
1 - 3
Philadelphia
Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (52'), O'Toole (61')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY City
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

The Union appear to be hitting their stride, while New York are trying to get their groove back, and although the home side have more individual quality to boast, continuity can often be a determining factor, something the Union have in abundance.

How to watch

You can watch New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
51.83% (-0.137 -0.14) 24.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 23.84% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)48.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)71.02% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)18.86% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67% (-0.108 -0.11)50.32% (0.102 0.1)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)35.01% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)71.75% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 51.82%
    Philadelphia Union 23.84%
    Draw 24.32%
New York City FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
NY City
1-1
Philadelphia
Castellanos (53')
Medina (82')
Zelalem (21')
Przybylko (27')
Glesnes (25'), Wagner (31'), Andres Martinez (50'), Bedoya (85')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville157441910925
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Columbus Crew146352617921
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
8Orlando City145541717020
9DC United155462018219
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149

Real Madrid Until The End
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