The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
51.83% (![]() | 24.32% (![]() | 23.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.06% (![]() | 48.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.97% (![]() | 71.02% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% (![]() | 18.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.67% (![]() | 50.32% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.98% (![]() | 35.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% (![]() | 71.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 11.01% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.82% | 1-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 25 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |