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Philadelphia Union
CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 27, 2023 at 2am UK
Subaru Park
Los Angeles FC
Philadelphia
1 - 1
Los Angeles
Gazdag (86' pen.)
Andres Martinez (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Acosta (90+1')
Acosta (84')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Philadelphia Union and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Los Angeles FC

If there is a team that can slow down the balanced LA attack, Philly might be the best bet, and they seem to be peaking at the right time, while showing lots of attacking quality at the moment. Just like in that epic MLS Cup final a year ago, this tie could go down to the wire, but home field and momentum may favour the Union in the opening leg, a team that have faced much stiffer challenges in the CCL this season when compared to the Black and Gold. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawLos Angeles FC
41.07% (0.188 0.19) 25.33% (0.126 0.13) 33.6% (-0.313 -0.31)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.52 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.638 -0.64)47.61% (0.636 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.592 -0.59)69.81% (0.592 0.59)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)23.03% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (-0.27399999999999 -0.27)56.85% (0.274 0.27)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (-0.497 -0.5)27.14% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (-0.654 -0.65)62.54% (0.653 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 41.07%
    Los Angeles FC 33.6%
    Draw 25.33%
Philadelphia UnionDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.191 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.6%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Los Angeles

Philadelphia Union
60.0%
Draw
5.0%
Los Angeles FC
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Los Angeles
3-3
Philadelphia
Los Angeles win 3-0 on penalties
Acosta (27'), Murillo (83'), Bale (120+8')
Cifuentes (65')
Gazdag (59'), Elliott (85', 120+4')
May 8, 2022 4am
Los Angeles
2-2
Philadelphia
Opoku (56'), Escobar (82')
Palacios (76')
Gazdag (9'), Carranza (67')
Santos (83'), Elliott (90+4')
Mar 9, 2020 2.30am
gameweek 4
Los Angeles
3-3
Philadelphia
Vela (38'), Rossi (49'), Segura (71')
Palacios (45+2')
Santos (29'), Glesnes (48'), Aaronson (69')
Gaddis (33'), Andres Martinez (43'), Bedoya (45+4'), Fontana (90+6')
Sep 15, 2019 12.30am
gameweek 36
Philadelphia
1-1
Los Angeles
Vela (43')
Kaye (65'), Blessing (78'), Harvey (88'), Zimmerman (89')
Jul 1, 2018 1am
gameweek 20
Los Angeles
4-1
Philadelphia
Diomande (25', 43', 55'), Blessing (96')
Beitashour (39'), Nguyen (85')
Picault (45')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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3Manchester UnitedMan Utd38236958431575
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381914568333571
5Liverpool381910975472867
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381881272531962
7Aston Villa38187135146561
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs38186147063760
9Brentford381514958461259
10Fulham38157165553252
11Crystal Palace381112154049-945
12Chelsea381111163847-944
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38118193158-2741
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham38117204255-1340
15Bournemouth38116213771-3439
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest38911183868-3038
17Everton38812183457-2336
RLeicester CityLeicester3897225168-1734
RLeeds UnitedLeeds38710214878-3031
RSouthampton3867253673-3725

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