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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Dallas |
58.88% (![]() | 22.51% | 18.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% (![]() | 47.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% (![]() | 69.79% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% (![]() | 15.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.01% (![]() | 45% (![]() |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.52% (![]() | 39.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.83% (![]() | 76.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Dallas |
1-0 @ 11.51% 2-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.22% Total : 58.86% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.5% | 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 26 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |