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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
57.24% (![]() | 21.66% (![]() | 21.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.68% (![]() | 40.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% (![]() | 62.7% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.1% (![]() | 13.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.67% (![]() | 41.33% (![]() |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.28% (![]() | 32.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.73% (![]() | 69.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
2-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 57.24% | 1-1 @ 10.02% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 5.6% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.38% Total : 21.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |