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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
40.12% (![]() | 25.6% (![]() | 34.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.34% (![]() | 48.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.22% (![]() | 70.77% (![]() |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.02% (![]() | 23.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.78% (![]() | 58.21% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% | 27.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% (![]() | 62.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 9.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 12.12% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.89% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 3% Total : 34.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 17 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 14 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Orlando City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Toronto | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
12 | DC United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 3 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
4 | Dallas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |