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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
First Tennessee Park
New York City

Nashville
2 - 0
NY City

Zimmerman (34'), Shaffelburg (80')
Shaffelburg (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cufre (28'), Magno (62'), Andrade (75'), Chanot (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 NY City
Monday, October 31 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-0 New York City FC

With so many new faces in the NYCFC lineup, we suspect it will take some time for them to gel together as a unit, particularly on the backline. Containing the Nashville attack might be a little more challenging this weekend, seeing as Picault is a capable secondary scorer who can compliment Mukhtar, so we expect that quality will overpower the newcomers at New York City.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nashville SC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nashville SC.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew York City FC
40.12% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 25.6% (-0.026 -0.03) 34.28% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (0.103 0.1)48.66% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (0.091999999999999 0.09)70.77% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (0.10000000000001 0.1)23.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (0.143 0.14)58.21% (-0.146 -0.15)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76%27.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)62.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 40.12%
    New York City FC 34.28%
    Draw 25.59%
Nashville SCDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.12%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 34.28%

How you voted: Nashville vs NY City

Nashville SC
72.0%
Draw
16.0%
New York City FC
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Nashville
3-1
NY City
Williams (30', 68'), Latinovich (32' og.)
Muyl (71'), Williams (73'), Haakenson (89')
McCarty (45')
Castellanos (90')
Medina (38'), Castellanos (64'), Acevedo (73')
Moralez (45')
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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